Activities
a) Work closely with the Department of Disaster Management and Red Cross officials for generating Impact-based forecast bulletins, and also review the progress of the implementation plan for EW4LL initiative, especially for Pillar 1 and 2
-
Collaborate with disaster management authorities and humanitarian agencies to co-produce bulletins that highlight the expected impacts of weather events (flooding, strong winds, storm surges) rather than just meteorological parameters.
-
Ensure the content is actionable, easy to understand, and linked to response measures.
-
Regularly review progress under the Early Warnings for All (EW4ALL) framework, especially Pillar 1 (Disaster Risk Knowledge) and Pillar 2 (Detection, Observation, Monitoring, and Forecasting) to assess readiness gaps and track achievements.
b) Define standard operating procedures (SOPs) for linking early warning to anticipatory action, including precise roles and responsibilities for risk monitoring and early action implementation
-
Develop structured protocols that establish the “who does what, when, and how” once a hazard is forecasted.
-
Clarify coordination mechanisms across agencies for activating early actions such as evacuation, resource pre-positioning, and public alerts.
-
Reduce confusion during emergencies by ensuring accountability and role clarity.
c) Conduct desk review and scoping of the observation, monitoring, and forecasting process of operational forecasters
-
Evaluate existing observation networks (stations, satellites, radars, buoys) and assess the quality and timeliness of data.
-
Review forecasting workflows and identify gaps in tools, methodologies, or skills.
-
Provide evidence-based recommendations for strengthening operational forecasting capacity.
d) Facilitate workshops, forums, and/or meetings related to users’ experiences and feedback on Impact-based forecasting and multi-hazard early warning systems
-
Organize platforms for end-users (fishermen, farmers, aviation, disaster managers, energy providers) to share how forecasts affect their decisions.
-
Collect insights to refine forecasts so they are more user-oriented and accessible.
-
Foster trust and improve collaboration between forecasters and stakeholders.
e) Develop and implement forecasting strategies and procedures to ensure accurate and reliable weather prediction
-
Design operational strategies for short-, medium-, and long-range forecasts.
-
Standardize quality-control procedures to reduce inconsistencies.
-
Incorporate advanced numerical weather prediction models and ensemble forecasting to improve reliability.
f) Review work plan and generate meteorological training programs for Aviation in liaison with the Head of Operation, in accordance with SOP and ICAO Annex 3
-
Assess aviation-specific training needs for forecasters.
-
Develop tailored programs covering aviation hazards such as turbulence, icing, thunderstorms, and volcanic ash.
-
Align training with international civil aviation standards (ICAO Annex 3) to ensure compliance and safety.
g) Foster knowledge sharing, innovation, and continuous professional development, including staying up-to-date with the latest advancements in meteorological science, technology, and forecasting techniques
-
Encourage peer learning, seminars, and staff exchanges.
-
Promote innovation through the adoption of emerging technologies (AI, machine learning, satellite-based products).
-
Ensure staff engage in ongoing professional development (courses, conferences, certifications).
Skills
Fredrick possesses extensive expertise in operational meteorology, impact-based forecasting, and early warning systems, with over a decade of experience supporting aviation safety, disaster risk management, and climate services. He is highly skilled in weather and climate data analysis, including satellite interpretation, seasonal forecasting, and the use of advanced tools such as R, Python, CPT, and NWP models. His background in climate change adaptation and risk assessment is complemented by proven strengths in capacity building, mentoring, and stakeholder engagement, where he has facilitated workshops and co-developed user-focused climate products. Fredrick also brings strong leadership and strategic planning skills, having contributed to national and regional resilience roadmaps, ISO 9001:2015 certification, and the development of SOPs linking early warning to anticipatory action.
